Director of the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies Ruslan Pukhov wrote in his article for Vedomosti, Censor.NET reports.
"...At the border with Ukraine (where three years ago no troops were deployed at all), the Russian side is building up three major groups that can, if necessary, deal a swift strike in the direction of Kyiv (which is only 270 km away from the Russian border) from the north, as well as create two powerful "claws" to ensure a strategic encirclement of the main Ukrainian army group in left-bank Ukraine, which is already constrained by the self-proclaimed republics at the front line in the Donbas.
"Ukraine simply lacks (and will lack in the foreseeable future over its poor resource base) military forces able to repel these groups and resist Russia's possible large-scale "deep" offensive in principle.
"Above all, Russia still has significant reserves deployed in the Southern Military District (the 49th and 58th Armies) and the Central and Eastern Military Districts (where three more divisions are to be formed, according to available data). An active reinforcement of Russia's Air Force and air defense is underway in the regions south of Moscow," Pukhov wrote.
According to him, Russia's current military planning does not intend to deal with "a threat from NATO" or pose "a threat to NATO" and is basically subordinated to the main and fundamental security issue being of great concern to Moscow - the Ukrainian issue.
"After losing its leverage over Ukraine in 2014, except for the military one, the Russian leadership has nothing but betting on it. Deploying a powerful military group at the Ukrainian border will allow the Kremlin to expand its capacity to react to the situation inside Ukraine," the expert concludes.
As previously reported, NSDC Secretary Oleksandr Turchynov voiced the possibility of imposing martial law in Ukraine.
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