"The enemy keeps accumulating military equipment and ammunition, conducting intensive combat training, creating both mechanized and artillery strike forces. At the same time offensive reconnaissance on important directions is conducted.
"The Russian mercenaries do not currently have forces capable to attack at the operational depth. However, a series of tactical offensives is a quite possible scenario.
"Pisky and Avdiivka villages are important locations for the enemy. Those positions are very close to Donetsk. That makes the city, which has become an important logistics base for the Russian troops, very vulnerable. Those are the strategic positions for the enemy that he will never let alone.
"The threat to Mariupol will become real only if the enemy launches offensive on Volnovakha and concentrates more troops near Shyrokyne in the vicinity of Mariupol. The threat for the distant approaches will arise first of all.
"But there are other directions. And the engagements will be increasingly fierce with the approach of summer.
"In general, everything that I wrote in March remains relevant to this day. The developments are in line with expectations so far," Butusov wrote.