If the current president Viktor Yanukovich manages to retain the parliamentary majority it will mean further isolation for the country. "If his Party of Regions does not win the elections it will at least lead to potential recovery of a political balance, based on which a system of distribution of power could be built again", thinks Steiner.
Average Ukrainians live between these fronts. They have swallowed the amendment of the Law on elections in Yanukovich's favor. They have to watch in awe and sometimes become victims of oligarch expansion. Due to hostile takeovers by the companies close to the ruling circles the number of small and medium businesses dropped by 30% in 2010 alone and 1.5 lost their jobs, says economist Vladimir Dubrovskiy.
With the help of the law that allows Russian to be the second official language Yanukovich will try to mobilize the Eastern Ukraine voters. However, he can stumble on economics as it happened with Timoshenko. The Fall threatens Ukraine with a certain instability, thinks Dubrovskiy.